29 Jul · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1397
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vaclavik
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1281
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+116
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)