29 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1545
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Darin
LB
🇨🇿Lukas Babicka
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.