29 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1281
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Potensky
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1355
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Potensky stays under total as favourite 71% (56)
Fair odds · Potensky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H35-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.