29 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1545
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 32% · 3.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.