29 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1508
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bruzek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1469
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 70% (33)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.