27 Jul · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1737
3-2Final setsMares won
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1668
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Zeman at 51%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lukas Zeman favoured — closing 1.84
Total 77.5
97 points played
Set handicap
Lukas Zeman −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Lukas Zeman −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Lukas Zeman.
▲ Erik Marespre 53% → final 77%
Lukas Zeman ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsMares recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games