29 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1354
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1405
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H25-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.