29 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1621
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sychra
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1612
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sebera
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H58-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.