29 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1712
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jindrak
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1722
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H13-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.