29 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1618
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1608
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka🌟Huk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (227)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H156-95
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.