29 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1493
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Taichman
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1487
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blejchar🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H15-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.