29 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tomica
ELO 1570
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kratochvil
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1579
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (74)
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.