29 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1585
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1544
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Chalupa covers set handicap as underdog 67% (87)
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H12-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.