29 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1575
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zidek
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1572
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H35-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.