29 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1436
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hasmanda
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Hasmanda stays under total as favourite 66% (89)
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.