29 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1462
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Regner
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Didi stays under total as underdog 64% (104)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.