29 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1555
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Saleny
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Saleny stays under total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Saleny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.