29 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1794
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Medek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1695
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Kos stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Medek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+99
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)