29 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1746
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bilek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1695
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Bilek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (29)
Fair odds · Bilek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.