29 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolenic
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1436
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Kolenic rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (70)
Fair odds · Kolenic
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H18-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.