29 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1847
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zajicek
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1794
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Medek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (33)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H98-138
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.