30 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tuma
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H28-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.