29 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Regner
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1393
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Regner
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H8-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)