29 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1695
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zajicek
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1847
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Kos stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+152
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)