29 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1367
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Grohsgott
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1320
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H83-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.