30 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Matej Volf
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vizek
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Vizek stays under total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Vizek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.