29 Jul · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1847
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zajicek
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1746
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Bilek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H30-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-24)