29 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1570
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kern
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1522
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hudeczek🌟Kern stays under total as favourite 67% (39)
Fair odds · Kern
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.