30 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1477
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Didi
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1382
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Didi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)