30 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1477
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Didi
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1420
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Didi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.