30 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1292
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Forman
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1360
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Forman stays under total as favourite 70% (27)
Fair odds · Forman
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.