30 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1292
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kucera
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kucera
ELO 1294
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kucera🌟Kucera stays under total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.