30 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1632
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cabis
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1669
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Polasek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (169)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H25-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.