30 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tuma
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1547
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H25-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.