30 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1383
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolenciak
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1375
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Toth covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Kolenciak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.