30 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1458
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stolba
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1383
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🌟Stolba rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.