30 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Richard Krejci
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Krejci
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1547
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tazler🌟Krejci rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (24)
Fair odds · Krejci
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.