30 Jul · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1575
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolar
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1465
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Fojt stays under total as underdog 63% (86)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)