31 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1516
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tuma
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.