31 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1645
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Paril
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1642
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Paril rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (184)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H30-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.