31 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1441
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sionkala
ES
🇨🇿Eduard Sionkala
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Stach covers set handicap as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Sionkala
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H18-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.