31 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1428
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Havlicek
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1442
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🌟Havlicek stays under total as favourite 72% (29)
Fair odds · Havlicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.