31 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Holik
ELO 1510
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sobisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1513
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Sobisek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (85)
Fair odds · Sobisek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.