31 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1580
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Barton
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1585
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Barton🌟Barton rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (80)
Fair odds · Barton
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H33-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.