31 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1550
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1645
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Paril rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (184)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)