31 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Varecha
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1517
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Zurek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (124)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H6-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.