31 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bayer
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1516
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H12-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.