31 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1516
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zuzanek
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1537
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H10-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.