31 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ES
🇨🇿Eduard Sionkala
ELO 1513
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sionkala
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Zurek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (124)
Fair odds · Sionkala
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.