1 Aug · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1452
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1479
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Priesol🌟Zientek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (59)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H15-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.